Wild Exaggeration and Egregious Lies – Watts Up With That?

Opinion by Kip Hansen – 6 Could 2021

The Overlaying Local weather Now propaganda effort was “co-founded by the Columbia Journalism Assessment and The Nation in affiliation with The Guardian and WNYC in 2019, CCNow’s 460-plus companions embody a few of the greatest names in information”  with the said function of  “to provide extra knowledgeable and pressing local weather tales, to make local weather part of each beat within the newsroom”.  Their primary doc, the CCNow Local weather Emergency Assertion, claims, partly, “…to protect a livable planet, humanity should take motion instantly. Failure to slash the quantity of carbon dioxide within the ambiance will make the extraordinary warmth, storms, wildfires, and ice soften of 2020 routine and will “render a good portion of the Earth uninhabitable…”.   To perform their objectives, CCNow supplies its companions with republishable tales from different companions (.pdf), editorial steerage, story writing concepts, a listing of speaking factors labelled Local weather Science 101 offered by Katharine Hayhoe.

Important Discover:  Name 911 instantly in case you are choking or experiencing chest pains  because of studying that final sentence – in Europe, dial 112 – within the UK, dial 112 or 999 – in Australia, 000 or 112

CCNow additionally provides NPR’s Local weather Information of mis- and dis-information on local weather and their very own “truth sheet “ [ sic ] “Who says it’s a local weather emergency?”  along with  their checklist of ten  “Greatest Practices” for local weather propagandists. 

If that is your first time listening to about CCNow, please learn my earlier essays posted right here at WUWT, most not too long ago The Local weather Propaganda Cabal and Turning Opinion into Science Reality.  There are some earlier essays as nicely – right here and right here.

Final week, on April 27 2021,  CCNow site posted a listing of 9 Items We Cherished.   A kind of featured was:

How Warming Oceans Are Accelerating the Local weather Disaster — People have locked in a minimum of 20 toes of sea degree rise—can we nonetheless repair it?” by Harold R. Wanless

Within the upside, the article in The Nation is clearly and prominently marked:

Tailored from an article for the Florida Local weather Reporting Community’s challenge “The Invading Sea,” this text is printed as a part of Overlaying Local weather Now, a worldwide journalism collaboration strengthening protection of the local weather story.

My fast test of internet search outcomes present this text, one week outdated now, being re-posted or linked 16 occasions, earlier than I ended counting. 

This text represents the “Large Lie” facet propaganda.  Large Lies promote higher, persuade individuals higher than little nit-picky lies.

Right here’s the underside line Large Lie from this CCNow propaganda piece:

The local weather emergency is larger than many specialists, elected officers, and activists notice. Humanity’s greenhouse gasoline emissions have overheated Earth’s ambiance, unleashing punishing warmth waves, hurricanes, and different excessive climate—that a lot is broadly understood. The bigger drawback is that the overheated ambiance has in flip overheated the oceans, assuring a catastrophic quantity of future sea degree rise.

As oceans warmth up, the water rises—partly as a result of heat water expands, but in addition as a result of the hotter waters have initiated a significant soften of polar ice sheets. Because of this, common sea ranges all over the world are actually all however sure to rise by a minimum of 20 to 30 toes. That’s sufficient to place massive components of many coastal cities, house to a whole bunch of thousands and thousands of individuals, underneath water.

Let me level out, unnecessarily for a lot of readers, that not a single phrase or sentence within the first paragraph is true.  The second paragraph fares little higher.  However solely as a result of “heat water does rise”  — simply not within the odd method Wanless says.  [Technically, warming the water in the ocean causes expansion of the ocean’s water  —  the fact the ‘warmer water rises’ is not involved in this – it is the expansion that can lead to rising sea levels.]  Nothing else within the second paragraph is true.

I’m detest to magnify, as that is what I’m accusing CCNow and Wanless of doing, so let’s take an in depth look:

The local weather emergency is larger than many specialists, elected officers, and activists notice.”   There is no such thing as a actual bodily local weather emergency – there may be solely a shared opinion that there’s a local weather emergency.  At greatest, the sentence is an unsupported opinion (being offered right here as truth).  It will be onerous for the true local weather scenario to be larger (worse) than a few of the more strange activists and politicians (“we now have 9 years left” – John Kerry).

“Humanity’s greenhouse gasoline emissions have overheated Earth’s ambiance, unleashing punishing warmth waves, hurricanes, and different excessive climate—that a lot is broadly understood.”  There is no such thing as a scientific consensus that the Earth’s ambiance has been “overheated”.   Rising CO2 concentrations within the ambiance are believed to have trigger a small quantity of warming – however solely that for the reason that mid-1900s.  Many assume that that small warming and the CO2 that will have precipitated it are helpful, together with a few of the smartest individuals in America.  The actual information on world warmth waves, hurricanes, and excessive climate don’t assist the declare that the small warming skilled has “unleash[ed] punishing warmth waves, hurricanes, and different excessive climate” – that’s the local weather activist’s most well-liked meme, not truth. Extra on the information can be found from the specialised pages on this site and right here.  [ Readers:  Please provide hyperlinks in feedback to dependable graphs displaying that the CCNow/Wanless claims are false. ]   Since this level is broadly contested by specialists in wildfires, warmth waves, hurricanes and excessive climate, it can’t be stated to be “broadly understood”. 

“The bigger drawback is that the overheated ambiance has in flip overheated the oceans, assuring a catastrophic quantity of future sea degree rise.”   The oceans haven’t overheated – that’s merely not true in any sense – it’s troublesome to even scientifically assist that the oceans have warmed in any substantial, climatically essential method.  Measuring ocean water temperature is an ongoing challenge and we now have a really brief time sequence of even reasonably dependable information.  It’s insanity to say that the tiny quantity (if any) of ocean water warming has “assur[ed] a catastrophic quantity of future sea degree rise.”   

I’ll depart parsing the remainder of second paragraph to readers.  However let’s take an additional have a look at the concept that sea ranges are assured to rise  “20 to 30 toes”.

Wanless states:  But when seas rise 20 toes or extra over the subsequent 100 to 200 years—which is our present trajectory—the outlook is grim. In that situation, there might be two toes of sea degree rise by 2040, three toes by 2050, and way more to return.” 

That hyperlink in there results in “NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 083 — GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS FOR THE UNITED STATES” [ .pdf ] which you’ll not be shocked says no such factor.  The NOAA doc doesn’t say that essentially the most excessive (RCP8.5) situation is our present trajectory in any respect. And it doesn’t, underneath any of the eventualities, predict 2 toes of sea degree rise by 2040 or three toes by 2050, not even underneath RCP8.5 (a situation which is now broadly thought of extremely inconceivable to unattainable). 

Even underneath unattainable RCP8.5 circumstances, NOAA predicts solely 16 inches (2040) and 25 inches (2050) [yellow highlight]  – however in the true world, we noticed solely the zero.03m (30 mm) predicted for 2010 to 2020 for the very  lowest situation [blue highlight] .    Wanless apparently will get his claimed our present trajectory to 20-30 toes from the decrease proper nook, highlighted in crimson, RCP8.5 at 2200. 

Including insult to harm, Wanless goes on to say in his article that “Right this moment, oceans are rising six mm a yr (over two inches a decade), and this tempo will proceed to dramatically speed up.”   The one factor right on this sentence is that 60m mm is over two inches.  Wanless’s hyperlink to a CSIRO web page is damaged however present sea degree rise, in accordance with NOAA:

Not 6 mm/yr, however three.three mm/yr, and degree for the final two or three years.  [ source: https://climate.nasa.gov/  to see this graph select Sea Level from right hand bottom section of the graphic at the top of the page.]

You might ask, “How can any article with so many apparent, egregious errors – wild exaggerations, inaccuracies and falsehoods —  get printed in The Nation?”  That may be the flawed query.  Higher to ask, “How did it get printed by the AGU in  EOS in its science information part?”

The reply is:     The Nation, AGU and  EOS are all companions of CCNow. 

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Creator’s Remark:

The American Geophysical Union (AGU) and its related on-line journal, EOS, have deserted even the pretext of science and opted to affix forces with the acknowledged propaganda effort, Overlaying Local weather Now, with its anything-goes push to persuade the world that there’s a Local weather Emergency so they may willingly quit fossil fuels.  This instance immediately exhibits that that effort extends to publishing wild exaggeration and egregious lies to ahead The Message – propaganda’s Large Lie in play.

I truthfully don’t know the way it has come to this and am concurrently saddened and outraged. 

This has now gone far, far past the go-along-to-get-along mutual back-patting of local weather alarmists at AGU conferences of the 1990’s.  The place are the true scientists who’re members of the AGU?  How can they continue to be silent when EOS publishes such articles with out even a disclaimer.  Disgrace.

Deal with your feedback to “Kip . . . “ so I’ll make sure you see them in case you are chatting with me.

Thanks for studying.

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