Reposted from NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
APRIL 6, 2021tags: Australia
By Paul Homewood
Floods in Australia made huge information final month, (Click on on hyperlink to observe video):
The floods primarily affected NSW and SE Queensland. The video talks of “lower than 1%” likelihood of this quantity of rainfall occurring. However the BOM figures don’t assist this declare.
In NSW, though it was the second wettest March, it was significantly wetter in 1956. Furthermore it was not notably moist in February, so the bottom wouldn’t have been saturated.
March in fact is just one month. Final month 136mm fell in NSW, however this quantity isn’t uncommon when all months are taken into consideration. Certainly it might seem that excessive rainfall months had been extra widespread previously:
The BOM printed a abstract final week, which highlights varied every day and month-to-month data set at some places, however once more these are just for March. None of this helps the allegation of a 1 in 100 yr occasion. As an alternative it was simply an uncommon and localised incidence for the month of March.
Because the video factors out, Australia is a land of flood and drought:
I discussed March 1956, however that yr it barely stopped raining from February to Might, which led to the worst flooding in NSW, Victoria and South Australia since 1870. This actually was an epic occasion, and was precisely described as a 1 in 100 yr incidence. This yr’s floods don’t go anyplace close to approaching 1956, as the next video vividly exhibits.
It’s 16 minutes lengthy, however I might totally suggest watching it. It not solely offers an thought simply how dangerous the flooding was, but additionally provides an perception into life in these days. Under it’s a quick movie, which additionally exhibits how widespread the flooding was.
In direction of the tip, you will notice a reference to the floods of 1870, which by all accounts had been even worse.
The time period 1 in 100 yr occasion is commonly abused these days, and is invariably used to explain what are not more than widespread climate occasions. Scientists doing this belittle the actually epic occasions of the previous.